Development is of primary importance to China and is the key to solving every problem we face. During the next five years, we must take particular care to avoid falling into the "middle-income trap," and we need to address an increasing number of problems and risks. Pursuing development is like sailing against the current: you either forge ahead or drift downstream. We must remain committed to economic development as our central task, endeavor to promote sound development, and respond effectively to risks and challenges so as to ensure that China's economy, like a gigantic ship, breaks the waves and goes the distance.
二是大力推进结构性改革。当前发展中总量问题与结构性问题并存,结构性问题更加突出,要用改革的办法推进结构调整。在适度扩大总需求的同时,突出抓好供给侧结构性改革,既做减法,又做加法,减少无效和低端供给,扩大有效和中高端供给,增加公共产品和公共服务供给,使供给和需求协同促进经济发展,提高全要素生产率,不断解放和发展社会生产力。
Second, make major headway in carrying out structural reform
At present, we face problems both with aggregate supply and demand and with our structures. The structural problems are more acute, and reform should be conducted to adjust these structures. While working to achieve an appropriate expansion of aggregate demand, we need to give particular emphasis to structural reform on the supply side, reducing supply in some areas while increasing it in others. This means that we need to reduce ineffective and lower-end supply while increasing effective and medium- and high-end supply, increase the supply of public goods and services, ensure that development is driven by both supply and demand, and improve total-factor productivity. This should enable us to unleash and develop productive forces.
三是加快新旧发展动能接续转换。经济发展必然会有新旧动能迭代更替的过程,当传统动能由强变弱时,需要新动能异军突起和传统动能转型,形成新的“双引擎”,才能推动经济持续增长、跃上新台阶。当前我国发展正处于这样一个关键时期,必须培育壮大新动能,加快发展新经济。要推动新技术、新产业、新业态加快成长,以体制机制创新促进分享经济发展,建设共享平台,做大高技术产业、现代服务业等新兴产业集群,打造动力强劲的新引擎。运用信息网络等现代技术,推动生产、管理和营销模式变革,重塑产业链、供应链、价值链,改造提升传统动能,使之焕发新的生机与活力。
Third, accelerate the shift in driving forces for development
In the course of economic development, it is only natural that old drivers of growth are replaced by new ones. As conventional driving forces weaken, it is critical that new driving forces emerge and that the conventional ones undergo a transformation so that new twin engines are formed; only then is it possible to upgrade the economy and achieve sustainable growth. This is the crucial period in which China currently finds itself, and during which we must build up powerful new drivers in order to accelerate the development of the new economy. We need to move faster to develop new technologies, industries, and forms of business, boost the development of a sharing economy through institutional innovations, create sharing platforms, and develop emerging industry clusters such as high-tech and modern service industry clusters, thus creating strong new engines. We will use network-based information technology and other modern technologies to drive changes in models of production, management, and marketing, create new industry chains, supply chains, and value chains, and transform and upgrade conventional drivers, thus injecting them with new vitality.
从根本上说,发展的不竭力量蕴藏在人民群众之中。9亿多劳动力、1亿多受过高等教育和有专业技能的人才,是我们最大的资源和优势。实现新旧动能转换,推动发展转向更多依靠人力人才资源和创新,既是一个伴随阵痛的调整过程,也是一个充满希望的升级过程。只要闯过这个关口,中国经济就一定能够浴火重生、再创辉煌。
Ultimately, it is the people who are the inexhaustible source of power that drives development. A workforce of over 900 million, of whom over 100 million have received higher education or are professionally trained: this is our greatest resource and strength. Obviously, replacing old drivers of growth with new ones and achieving a shift in development toward greater reliance on human resources, human capital, and innovation is a process of painful adjustment. But it is at the same time an upgrading process with great promise. We just have to get through this process, and we can, without question, reinvigorate the economy and ensure its dynamic growth.
展望今后五年,我们充满必胜信心。如期实现全面建成小康社会目标,人民生活将会更加美好,中国特色社会主义事业前景一定会更加光明!
Looking ahead to the next five years, we are fully confident that we will finish building a moderately prosperous society in all respects within the set timeframe, that our people will enjoy better lives, and that there will be an even brighter future for the cause of building socialism with Chinese characteristics.
三、2016年重点工作
I now want to discuss the major areas of work for 2016.
今年是全面建成小康社会决胜阶段的开局之年,也是推进结构性改革的攻坚之年。
This is the first year of the decisive stage in finishing building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and a crucial year in carrying out structural reform. To ensure that the government's goal for this year is accomplished, we must do the following:
做好政府工作,必须高举中国特色社会主义伟大旗帜,全面贯彻党的十八大和十八届三中、四中、五中全会精神,以邓小平理论、“三个代表”重要思想、科学发展观为指导,深入贯彻习近平总书记系列重要讲话精神,按照“五位一体”总体布局和“四个全面”战略布局,坚持改革开放,坚持以新发展理念引领发展,坚持稳中求进工作总基调,适应经济发展新常态,实行宏观政策要稳、产业政策要准、微观政策要活、改革政策要实、社会政策要托底的总体思路,把握好稳增长与调结构的平衡,保持经济运行在合理区间,着力加强供给侧结构性改革,加快培育新的发展动能,改造提升传统比较优势,抓好去产能、去库存、去杠杆、降成本、补短板,加强民生保障,切实防控风险,努力实现“十三五”时期经济社会发展良好开局。
-- hold high the great banner of socialism with Chinese characteristics;
-- implement the guiding principles of the 18th National Congress of the CPC and the third, fourth, and fifth plenary sessions of the 18th CPC Central Committee;
-- follow the guidance of Deng Xiaoping Theory, the Theory of Three Represents, and the Scientific Outlook on Development;
-- put into practice the guiding principles from General Secretary Xi Jinping's major policy addresses;
-- work in accordance with the overall plan for promoting all-round economic, political, cultural, social, and ecological progress and the Four-Pronged Comprehensive Strategy;*
-- continue reform and opening up;
-- follow the new vision of development;
-- follow the general principle of making progress while working to keep performance stable;
-- adapt to the new normal in economic development;
-- follow the general guidelines that macro policies should be stable, industrial policies targeted, micro policies flexible, reform policies practical, and that social policies should ensure basic needs;
-- maintain a balance between ensuring steady growth and making structural adjustments;
-- ensure that the economy operates within an appropriate range;
-- strengthen supply-side structural reform;
-- accelerate the fostering of new driving forces for development;
-- strengthen traditional comparative advantages;
-- cut overcapacity and excess inventory, deleverage, reduce costs, and strengthen points of weakness;
-- strengthen basic safeguards for public wellbeing;
-- prevent and control risks.
今年发展的主要预期目标是:国内生产总值增长6.5%-7%,居民消费价格涨幅3%左右,城镇新增就业1000万人以上,城镇登记失业率4.5%以内,进出口回稳向好,国际收支基本平衡,居民收入增长和经济增长基本同步。单位国内生产总值能耗下降3.4%以上,主要污染物排放继续减少。
By working to achieve all of these, we should get off to a good start in economic and social development during the period covered by the 13th Five-Year Plan.
The main development targets for 2016 are as follows:
-- GDP growth of 6.5% to 7%;
-- CPI increase kept at around 3%;
-- creation of at least ten million new urban jobs;
-- registered urban unemployment rate kept within 4.5%;
-- a steady rise in import and export volumes;
-- a basic balance in international payments;
-- increases in personal income basically in step with economic growth;
-- a reduction in energy consumption per unit of GDP of at least 3.4%;
-- further reductions in the release of major pollutants.
经济增长预期目标6.5%-7%,考虑了与全面建成小康社会目标相衔接,考虑了推进结构性改革的需要,也有利于稳定和引导市场预期。稳增长主要是为了保就业、惠民生,有6.5%-7%的增速就能够实现比较充分的就业。
In setting a projected growth rate of between 6.5% and 7%, we have taken into consideration the need to finish building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and the need to advance structural reform. It will also help guide market expectations and keep them stable. The aim of maintaining stable growth is primarily to ensure employment and promote the people's wellbeing, and a growth rate of between 6.5% and 7% will allow for relatively full employment.
综合分析各方面情况,今年我国发展面临的困难更多更大、挑战更为严峻,我们要做打硬仗的充分准备。
A comprehensive analysis of all factors shows that China will face more and tougher problems and challenges in its development this year, so we must be fully prepared to fight a difficult battle.
从国际看,世界经济深度调整、复苏乏力,国际贸易增长低迷,金融和大宗商品市场波动不定,地缘政治风险上升,外部环境的不稳定不确定因素增加,对我国发展的影响不可低估。
Internationally, the global economy is experiencing profound changes and struggling to recover; growth in trade is weak; there are fluctuations in the financial and commodity markets; geopolitical risks are rising; and there are increasing instabilities and uncertainties in China's external environment. We should not underestimate the impact all of this will have on China's development.
从国内看,长期积累的矛盾和风险进一步显现,经济增速换挡、结构调整阵痛、新旧动能转换相互交织,经济下行压力加大。
Domestically, problems and risks that have been building up over the years are becoming more evident; the change of pace in economic growth, the difficulties associated with structural adjustments, and the transformation of the drivers of growth present interwoven problems; and downward pressure on the economy is growing.
但困难和挑战并不可怕。中国的发展从来都是在应对挑战中前进的,没有过不去的坎。经过多年的快速发展,我国物质基础雄厚,经济韧性强、潜力足、回旋余地大,改革开放不断注入新动力,创新宏观调控积累了丰富经验。特别是我们有中国共产党的坚强领导和中国特色社会主义制度,中国人民勤劳智慧。只要我们万众一心,共克时艰,就一定能够实现全年经济社会发展目标。
But we will not be daunted by these problems and challenges. China has from the start been developing while responding to challenges; there is no difficulty we cannot get beyond. Thanks to years of rapid development, China has laid a solid material foundation, and its economy is hugely resilient and has enormous potential and ample room for growth. At the same time, reform and opening up has been injecting new impetus into economic growth, and a wealth of experience has been gained in developing new ways of conducting macro regulation. In addition, we have the guidance of the CPC and the system of socialism with Chinese characteristics, and our people are talented and hardworking. As long as we work together as one to surmount all difficulties, we will definitely achieve the targets for economic and social development in 2016.
今年要重点做好八个方面工作。
This year, we will carry out the following eight tasks:
(一)稳定和完善宏观经济政策,保持经济运行在合理区间。我们宏观调控还有创新手段和政策储备,既要立足当前、有针对性地出招,顶住经济下行压力,又要着眼长远、留有后手、谋势蓄势。继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,创新宏观调控方式,加强区间调控、定向调控、相机调控,统筹运用财政、货币政策和产业、投资、价格等政策工具,采取结构性改革尤其是供给侧结构性改革举措,为经济发展营造良好环境。
1. Improve and keep stable our macroeconomic policies to ensure that the economy performs within an appropriate range
At present, we still have new instruments for macro regulation and a good reserve of policies at our disposal. On the one hand, we will focus on current realities and take targeted steps to withstand the downward pressure on the economy. On the other hand, we must have our long-term development goals in mind, keep some policy tools as options for later use, strategize our moves, and gather strength. We will continue to implement proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, develop new approaches to macro regulation, strengthen range-based, targeted, and well-timed regulation, use fiscal and monetary policies and industry, investment, and pricing policy tools in a coordinated way, and implement structural reform, particularly supply-side structural reform, so as to create an enabling environment for economic development.
积极的财政政策要加大力度。今年拟安排财政赤字2.18万亿元,比去年增加5600亿元,赤字率提高到3%。其中,中央财政赤字1.4万亿元,地方财政赤字7800亿元。安排地方专项债券4000亿元,继续发行地方政府置换债券。我国财政赤字率和政府负债率在世界主要经济体中相对较低,这样的安排是必要的、可行的,也是安全的。
-- We will pursue a more proactive fiscal policy.
The government deficit for 2016 is projected to be 2.18 trillion yuan, an increase of 560 billion yuan over last year, meaning the deficit-to-GDP ratio will rise to 3%. Of the deficit, 1.4 trillion yuan will be carried by the central government, and the remaining 780 billion yuan will be carried by local governments. Special bonds for local governments will total 400 billion yuan, and local government debt-converting bonds will continue to be issued. China's deficit-to-GDP ratio and government debt ratio are lower than those of other major economies; such steps are necessary, feasible, and also safe.
适度扩大财政赤字,主要用于减税降费,进一步减轻企业负担。
The moderate increase in government deficit is projected primarily to cover tax and fee reductions for enterprises, a step that will further reduce their burdens.
今年将采取三项举措。一是全面实施营改增,从5月1日起,将试点范围扩大到建筑业、房地产业、金融业、生活服务业,并将所有企业新增不动产所含增值税纳入抵扣范围,确保所有行业税负只减不增。二是取消违规设立的政府性基金,停征和归并一批政府性基金,扩大水利建设基金等免征范围。
The following three measures will be adopted this year.
First, business tax will be replaced with VAT in all sectors. Starting from May 1st, the scope of work to pilot this measure will be extended to the construction, real estate, financial, and consumer service industries, and VAT deductions will cover all new immovable property of enterprises to ensure that the tax burdens on all industries are reduced.
Second, government-managed funds set up without authorization will be abolished; the collection of contributions to certain government-managed funds will be suspended, and some of these funds will be consolidated; and more enterprises will be exempted from contributing to water conservancy construction funds and other government-managed funds.
Note:
* To make comprehensive moves to finish building a moderately prosperous society in all respects, deepen reform, advance the law-based governance of China, and strengthen Party self-conduct.
三是将18项行政事业性收费的免征范围,从小微企业扩大到所有企业和个人。
Third, exemptions from 18 administrative charges which currently apply only to small and micro businesses will be expanded to include all enterprises and individuals.
实施上述政策,今年将比改革前减轻企业和个人负担5000多亿元。同时,适当增加必要的财政支出和政府投资,加大对民生等薄弱环节的支持。创新财政支出方式,优化财政支出结构,该保的一定要保住,该减的一定要减下来。
Through the above policies, the burdens on enterprises and individuals will be cut by more than 500 billion yuan this year. At the same time, we will increase government expenditures and investment as appropriate to work on living standards and other areas in need of strengthening. We will develop new ways for government funds to be spent and improve the government spending mix to ensure that all essential items receive sufficient funding, while non-essential items are cut.
加快财税体制改革。推进中央与地方事权和支出责任划分改革,合理确定增值税中央和地方分享比例。把适合作为地方收入的税种下划给地方,在税政管理权限方面给地方适当放权。进一步压缩中央专项转移支付规模,今年一般性转移支付规模增长12.2%。全面推开资源税从价计征改革。依法实施税收征管。建立规范的地方政府举债融资机制,对财政实力强、债务风险较低的,按法定程序适当增加债务限额。各级政府要坚持过紧日子,把每一笔钱都花在明处、用在实处。